Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 612:00

0 – 2

Sunday, 27 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:38 UTC

Vasas Femina W vs Olimpia Cluj W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Vasas Femina W and 4.50 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined total of 5.63. That distribution gives Olimpia Cluj W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 89%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 89% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Olimpia Cluj W win

89.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.13 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vasas Femina W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Olimpia Cluj W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Olimpia Cluj W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 89%, against 4% / 7% / 89% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.13 goals for Vasas Femina W and 4.50 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined 5.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Vasas Femina W win4%
Draw7%
Olimpia Cluj W win89%

Double chance 1X

11%

Double chance 12

94%

Double chance X2

96%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals77%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–46.9%
  • 1–56.2%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 0–46.1%
  • 0–55.5%

Recent form

Vasas Femina W

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Univ. Craiova W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 0-15 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-22 (L)

Olimpia Cluj W

  • 2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-8 (L)
  • 2026-09-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 Feminin table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Olimpia Cluj W win, at 89.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 89% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.