Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 108:00

0 – 14

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 17:10 UTC

Vasas Femina W vs SSU Poli Timişoara W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Vasas Femina W and 4.50 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined total of 5.56. That distribution gives SSU Poli Timişoara W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

SSU Poli Timişoara W win

90.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.06 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vasas Femina W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SSU Poli Timişoara W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 90%, against 4% / 6% / 90% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.06 goals for Vasas Femina W and 4.50 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined 5.56 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Vasas Femina W win4%
Draw6%
SSU Poli Timişoara W win90%

Double chance 1X

10%

Double chance 12

94%

Double chance X2

96%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–47.0%
  • 0–46.6%
  • 1–56.3%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 0–55.9%

Recent form

Vasas Femina W

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Univ. Craiova W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 0-15 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-22 (L)

SSU Poli Timişoara W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga 1 Feminin table

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    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is SSU Poli Timişoara W win, at 90.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.

    It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

    A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.