· Analysis updated 13:51 UTC
Vasas Femina W vs Unirea Alba Iulia W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Vasas Femina W and 3.94 for Unirea Alba Iulia W, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Unirea Alba Iulia W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Unirea Alba Iulia W win
86.1% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 3.94
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vasas Femina W home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unirea Alba Iulia W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
14%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.3%
- 1–47.2%
- 0–36.8%
- 0–46.7%
- 1–55.7%
Recent form
Vasas Femina W
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Univ. Craiova W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 0-15 (L)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-22 (L)
Unirea Alba Iulia W
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletic Olimpia Gherla W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-7 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-6 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2026-04-22T11:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-0 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2026-03-18T12:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-4 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-10-12T08:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-0 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-08-24T14:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-3 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-2 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-04-23T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 1-2 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-03-23T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-1 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
- 2025-03-02T11:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-1 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Csikszereda MC W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 |
| 2 | Farul Constanţa W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 21 |
| 3 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -51 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -79 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Unirea Alba Iulia W win, at 86.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.