Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Relegation Group - 1208:00

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Saturday, 30 May 2026

· Analysis updated 12:32 UTC

Vasas Femina W vs Unirea Alba Iulia W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Vasas Femina W and 2.55 for Unirea Alba Iulia W, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Unirea Alba Iulia W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Unirea Alba Iulia W win

64.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 2.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vasas Femina W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Unirea Alba Iulia W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vasas Femina W win18%
Draw18%
Unirea Alba Iulia W win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–37.6%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 0–26.9%
  • 0–35.9%

Recent form

Vasas Femina W

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Univ. Craiova W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 0-15 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-22 (L)

Unirea Alba Iulia W

  • 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletic Olimpia Gherla W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-7 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-6 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2026-04-22T11:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-0 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2026-03-18T12:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-4 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-10-12T08:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-0 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-08-24T14:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-3 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 0-2 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-04-23T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 1-2 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-03-23T09:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-1 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)
  • 2025-03-02T11:00:00.000Z · Vasas Femina W 2-1 Unirea Alba Iulia W (Liga 1 Feminin)

Liga 1 Feminin table

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Unirea Alba Iulia W win, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.