· Analysis updated 14:36 UTC
Vatolakkos vs Anagennisi Artas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.61 expected goals for Vatolakkos and 2.01 for Anagennisi Artas, a combined total of 2.62. That distribution gives Anagennisi Artas the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Anagennisi Artas win
70.3% probability
Expected goals
0.61 – 2.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anagennisi Artas to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 10% / 19% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.61 goals for Vatolakkos and 2.01 for Anagennisi Artas, a combined 2.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 70% with high confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
30%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–214.7%
- 0–114.6%
- 0–39.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–19.0%
Recent form
Vatolakkos
Anagennisi Artas
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makedonikos Siatista | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Veria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Anagennisi Artas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Eordaikos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Alexandros Florinas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Doxa Mascholouriou | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastoria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Naousa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | PAS Giannina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Thyella Katsikas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Vatolakkos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Anagennisi Artas win, at 70.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.