Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 414:30

14:30 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 23:47 UTC

Velká Bíteš vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.18 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Velká Bíteš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Velká Bíteš or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Velká Bíteš win44%
Draw26%
Ždírec nad Doubravou win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Velká Bíteš home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ždírec nad Doubravou away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Velká Bíteš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.18 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Velká Bíteš

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)

Ždírec nad Doubravou

  • 2026-08-15T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Znojmo · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.