Stadion Velke Hamry · Analysis updated 11:03 UTC
Velké Hamry vs Hradec Králové II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.58 expected goals for Velké Hamry and 1.65 for Hradec Králové II, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Hradec Králové II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hradec Králové II win
63.6% probability
Expected goals
0.58 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Velké Hamry home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hradec Králové II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hradec Králové II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 13% / 24% / 64% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.58 goals for Velké Hamry and 1.65 for Hradec Králové II, a combined 2.22 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
36%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.8%
- 0–214.7%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.5%
Recent form
Velké Hamry
- 2026-10-24T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice II · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 4-2 (W)
Hradec Králové II
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Varnsdorf · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-12T08:15:00.000Z · Velké Hamry 0-1 Hradec Králové II (3. liga - CFL B)
- 2025-09-14T08:30:00.000Z · Velké Hamry 0-1 Hradec Králové II (3. liga - CFL B)
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jablonec II | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Varnsdorf | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baník Souš | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Hradec Králové II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Teplice II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové II win, at 63.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.