Stadion Velke Hamry · Analysis updated 07:52 UTC
Velké Hamry vs Teplice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Velké Hamry and 2.07 for Teplice II, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Teplice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Teplice II win
49.8% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 2.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Velké Hamry home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Teplice II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Teplice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 29% / 21% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Velké Hamry and 2.07 for Teplice II, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Velké Hamry
- 2026-10-24T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice II · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 4-2 (W)
Teplice II
- 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jablonec II | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Varnsdorf | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baník Souš | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Hradec Králové II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Teplice II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Teplice II win, at 49.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.