· Analysis updated 07:07 UTC
Veľké Ludince vs Beluša Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Veľké Ludince and 2.73 for Beluša, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Beluša the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Beluša win
70.0% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Veľké Ludince home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Beluša away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
30%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.8%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–27.5%
- 0–36.8%
- 1–16.5%
Recent form
Veľké Ludince
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zitavany · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajská Lužná · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gabčíkovo · 1-6 (L)
Beluša
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Veľké Ludince · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Púchov · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajská Lužná · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Piešťany · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-24T13:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 0-3 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2025-10-26T12:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 0-1 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2025-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-5 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2024-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 2-2 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2024-04-28T14:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-2 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2023-10-01T13:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-2 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2023-03-22T14:15:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-2 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2022-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 4-1 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2022-05-08T14:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-0 Beluša (3. liga - West)
- 2021-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 0-3 Beluša (3. liga - West)
3. liga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nitra | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | Dunajská Lužná | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Púchov | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 22 |
| 4 | Gabčíkovo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Myjava | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Beluša | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Nové Zámky | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Baník Prievidza | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | MŠK Senec | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 10 | DAC II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Trenčín II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Komárno II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 | Veľké Ludince | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Častkovce | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Rača | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -15 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Beluša win, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.