Veľké Ludince vs Komárno II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Veľké Ludince and 1.81 for Komárno II, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Veľké Ludince the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Veľké Ludince home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Komárno II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Veľké Ludince to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 22% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Veľké Ludince and 1.81 for Komárno II, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Veľké Ludince win42%

Draw22%

Komárno II win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–18.3%
2–18.0%
1–27.5%
2–27.2%
3–15.2%

Recent form

Veľké Ludince

2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zitavany · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajská Lužná · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno II · 3-3 (D)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gabčíkovo · 1-6 (L)

Komárno II

2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DAC II · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Častkovce · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MŠK Senec · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Gabčíkovo · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 3-3 Komárno II (3. liga - West)
2026-03-15T13:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 1-0 Komárno II (3. liga - West)
2025-08-17T15:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 3-0 Komárno II (3. liga - West)

3. liga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nitra	11	10	1	0	31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	6	3	2	6	21
3	Púchov	11	5	4	2	11	19
4	Beluša	12	4	6	2	6	18
5	Spartak Myjava	11	5	3	3	6	18
6	Gabčíkovo	11	5	2	4	2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	5	1	5	1	16
8	Nové Zámky	11	4	3	4	-5	15
9	DAC II	11	4	2	5	3	14
10	Trenčín II	11	4	2	5	1	14
11	Komárno II	11	4	2	5	-9	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	4	1	7	-10	13
13	Častkovce	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Rača	11	2	4	5	-11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	2	3	6	-14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.