Veľké Ludince vs Lokomotíva Zvolen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Veľké Ludince and 1.53 for Lokomotíva Zvolen, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Veľké Ludince the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Veľké Ludince home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lokomotíva Zvolen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Veľké Ludince to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Veľké Ludince and 1.53 for Lokomotíva Zvolen, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Veľké Ludince win44%

Draw23%

Lokomotíva Zvolen win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–18.8%
1–27.7%
2–26.7%
1–06.6%

Recent form

Veľké Ludince

2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zitavany · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajská Lužná · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno II · 3-3 (D)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gabčíkovo · 1-6 (L)

Lokomotíva Zvolen

2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava II · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šamorín · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pohronie · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 0-2 Lokomotíva Zvolen (Cup)
2025-01-25T13:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 0-4 Lokomotíva Zvolen (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-03-24T14:00:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 3-1 Lokomotíva Zvolen (3. liga - West)
2023-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · Veľké Ludince 2-3 Lokomotíva Zvolen (3. liga - West)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.