· Analysis updated 13:28 UTC
Velké Meziříčí vs Sokol Tasovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Velké Meziříčí and 2.25 for Sokol Tasovice, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Sokol Tasovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sokol Tasovice win
59.9% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Velké Meziříčí home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Tasovice away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–37.2%
- 0–16.8%
Recent form
Velké Meziříčí
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuřim · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bedrichov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Pelhřimov · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 3-2 (W)
Sokol Tasovice
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Chotebor · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FS Třebíč · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-21T15:30:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 0-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2026-03-15T14:00:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 1-1 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-08-10T08:15:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 2-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-05-01T14:30:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 2-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-09-29T13:30:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 0-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-03-24T09:15:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 1-1 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2023-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · Velké Meziříčí 1-5 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuřim | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 25 |
| 2 | Sparta Brno | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Tatran Bohunice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Velká Bíteš | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Havlíčkův Brod | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | FS Třebíč | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Znojmo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 | Sokol Tasovice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Humpolec | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Chotebor | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 14 | Velké Meziříčí | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -41 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Tasovice win, at 59.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.