Venezia U19 vs AlbinoLeffe U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Venezia U19 and 1.68 for AlbinoLeffe U19, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Venezia U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Venezia U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
AlbinoLeffe U19 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Venezia U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 22% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Venezia U19 and 1.68 for AlbinoLeffe U19, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Venezia U19 win45%

Draw22%

AlbinoLeffe U19 win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–18.7%
2–18.5%
1–27.3%
2–27.1%
3–15.5%

Recent form

Venezia U19

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sudtirol U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Udinese U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T09:15:00.000Z · H vs Lecco U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brescia U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brescia U19 · 1-1 (D)

AlbinoLeffe U19

2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Modena U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lecco U19 · 5-1 (W)
2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pescara U19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pro Vercelli U19 · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lecco U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Campionato Primavera - 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Renate U19	6	4	2	0	7	14
1	Catanzaro U19	6	6	0	0	13	18
2	Sampdoria U19	6	3	3	0	10	12
2	Perugia U19	6	5	0	1	15	15
3	Vicenza U19	6	3	3	0	7	12
3	Palermo U19	6	4	2	0	5	14
4	Cremonese U19	6	4	0	2	5	12
4	Benevento U19	6	4	1	1	12	13
5	Venezia U19	6	3	1	2	2	10
5	Monopoli U19	6	3	2	1	5	11
6	Udinese U19	6	3	0	3	1	9
6	Pescara U19	6	3	2	1	4	11
7	Padova U19	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Bari U19	6	2	3	1	4	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	2	2	2	2	8
8	Avellino U19	6	3	0	3	0	9
9	Lecco U19	6	2	2	2	-4	8
9	Latina U19	6	2	2	2	3	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Napoli U19	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	Brescia U19	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	Pisa U19	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Mantova U19	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Spezia U19	6	1	1	4	-6	4
13	Modena U19	6	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Frosinone U19	6	1	1	4	-14	4
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Ascoli U19	6	0	2	4	-9	2
15	Sudtirol U19	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Cosenza U19	6	0	1	5	-13	1
16	Reggiana U19	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Salernitana U19	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.