Italy · Campionato Primavera - 2 · Matchweek 913:30
Venezia U19WWLDL

13:30 UTC

Saturday, 21 November 2026

Vicenza U19DDWWD

· Analysis updated 13:55 UTC

Venezia U19 vs Vicenza U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Venezia U19 and 1.52 for Vicenza U19, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Vicenza U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Venezia U19 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vicenza U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vicenza U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 33% / 25% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Venezia U19 and 1.52 for Vicenza U19, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Venezia U19 win33%
Draw25%
Vicenza U19 win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–07.7%

Recent form

Venezia U19

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sudtirol U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Udinese U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T09:15:00.000Z · H vs Lecco U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brescia U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brescia U19 · 1-1 (D)

Vicenza U19

  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Virtus Entella U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Reggiana U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pro Vercelli U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Renate U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sudtirol U19 · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Campionato Primavera - 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Renate U196420714
1Catanzaro U1966001318
2Sampdoria U1963301012
2Perugia U1965011515
3Vicenza U196330712
3Palermo U196420514
4Cremonese U196402512
4Benevento U1964111213
5Venezia U196312210
5Monopoli U196321511
6Udinese U19630319
6Pescara U196321411
7Padova U196303-19
7Bari U19623149
8Virtus Entella U19622228
8Avellino U19630309
9Lecco U196222-48
9Latina U19622238
10Cittadella U196213-37
10Napoli U19622208
11Brescia U196213-57
11Pisa U196204-26
12Mantova U196132-46
12Spezia U196114-64
13Modena U196123-15
13Frosinone U196114-144
14Pro Vercelli U196123-55
14Ascoli U196024-92
15Sudtirol U196042-44
15Cosenza U196015-131
16Reggiana U196024-72
16Salernitana U196015-171

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.