· Analysis updated 20:24 UTC
Venezuela U17 vs England U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Venezuela U17 and 3.00 for England U17, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives England U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
England U17 win
82.1% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Venezuela U17 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates England U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 6% / 12% / 82% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for Venezuela U17 and 3.00 for England U17, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
18%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.6%
- 0–310.6%
- 0–47.9%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–37.9%
Recent form
Venezuela U17
- 2026-10-01T09:30:00.000Z · H vs England U17 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolivia U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Uruguay U17 · 0-3 (L)
England U17
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is England U17 win, at 82.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.