Aspire Zone · Analysis updated 16:50 UTC
Venezuela U17 vs Korea DPR U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Venezuela U17 and 1.38 for Korea DPR U17, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Venezuela U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Venezuela U17 win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
2.30 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Venezuela U17 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Venezuela U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 20% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Venezuela U17 and 1.38 for Korea DPR U17, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.3%
Recent form
Venezuela U17
- 2026-10-01T09:30:00.000Z · H vs England U17 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolivia U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Uruguay U17 · 0-3 (L)
Korea DPR U17
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
World Cup - U17 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Venezuela U17 win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.