Estadio Ameliano · Referee O. Contreras · Analysis updated 23:25 UTC
Venezuela U17 vs Peru U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Venezuela U17 and 0.93 for Peru U17, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Venezuela U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Venezuela U17 win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Venezuela U17 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Venezuela U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 20% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Venezuela U17 and 0.93 for Peru U17, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 54%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–07.6%
Recent form
Venezuela U17
- 2026-10-01T09:30:00.000Z · H vs England U17 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolivia U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Uruguay U17 · 0-3 (L)
Peru U17
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
CONMEBOL - U17 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ecuador U17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Colombia U17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Uruguay U17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Chile U17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Paraguay U17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 1 | Brazil U17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Argentina U17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivia U17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Venezuela U17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Peru U17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Venezuela U17 win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.