Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni · Analysis updated 18:40 UTC
Venezuela U20 W vs Colombia U20 W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for Venezuela U20 W and 0.78 for Colombia U20 W, a combined total of 1.55. That distribution gives Venezuela U20 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.0% probability
Expected goals
0.78 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Venezuela U20 W home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Colombia U20 W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 32% / 36% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.78 goals for Venezuela U20 W and 0.78 for Colombia U20 W, a combined 1.55 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
64%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–021.2%
- 0–116.4%
- 1–016.4%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–26.4%
Recent form
Venezuela U20 W
- 2026-02-28T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombia U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-22T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Ecuador U20 W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-02-19T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Paraguay U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-16T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentina U20 W · 2-2 (D)
Colombia U20 W
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Italy U20 W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Korea DPR U20 W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nigeria U20 W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Poland U20 W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korea DPR U20 W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-25T23:00:00.000Z · Venezuela U20 W 0-2 Colombia U20 W (CONMEBOL U20 Femenino)
- 2026-02-08T21:00:00.000Z · Venezuela U20 W 0-1 Colombia U20 W (CONMEBOL U20 Femenino)
- 2024-04-26T21:00:00.000Z · Venezuela U20 W 2-3 Colombia U20 W (CONMEBOL U20 Femenino)
- 2024-04-16T23:30:00.000Z · Venezuela U20 W 1-4 Colombia U20 W (CONMEBOL U20 Femenino)
CONMEBOL U20 Femenino table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil U20 W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Argentina U20 W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Ecuador U20 W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Colombia U20 W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Venezuela U20 W | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 | Paraguay U20 W | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 7 | Uruguay U20 W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | Peru U20 W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 3 |
| 9 | Chile U20 W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Bolivia U20 W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.