Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero · Referee Marta Huerta · Analysis updated 14:22 UTC
Venezuela U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Venezuela U20 W and 1.53 for Nigeria U20 W, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Nigeria U20 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nigeria U20 W win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Venezuela U20 W home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nigeria U20 W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nigeria U20 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 25% / 26% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Venezuela U20 W and 1.53 for Nigeria U20 W, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–08.0%
Recent form
Venezuela U20 W
- 2026-02-28T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Brazil U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombia U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-22T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Ecuador U20 W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-02-19T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Paraguay U20 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-16T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentina U20 W · 2-2 (D)
Nigeria U20 W
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombia U20 W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs England U20 W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs New Caledonia U20 W · 10-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs China PR U20 W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spain U20 W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
World Cup - U20 - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland U20 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Argentina U20 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Mexico U20 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Benin U20 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11 | 1 |
| 1 | Brazil U20 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | England U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tanzania U20 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -13 | 0 |
| 1 | France U20 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Korea Republic U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ecuador U20 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana U20 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 1 | Italy U20 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan U20 W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | United States U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 4 | New Zealand U20 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -13 | 0 |
| 1 | Korea DPR U20 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Portugal U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Colombia U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica U20 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| 1 | Spain U20 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 |
| 2 | Nigeria U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 3 | China PR U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | New Caledonia U20 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -25 | 0 |
| 1 | United States U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 2 | England U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | China PR U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Colombia U20 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Ecuador U20 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Mexico U20 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nigeria U20 W win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.