Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 2809:00

3 – 1

Monday, 11 May 2026

· Analysis updated 14:21 UTC

Veres Rivne U19 vs Kryvbas 2020 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Veres Rivne U19 and 1.08 for Kryvbas 2020 U19, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Veres Rivne U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Veres Rivne U19 win

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Veres Rivne U19 home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kryvbas 2020 U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Veres Rivne U19 win63%
Draw20%
Kryvbas 2020 U19 win18%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 3–17.2%

Recent form

Veres Rivne U19

  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Metalurh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Livyi Bereh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-1 (D)

Kryvbas 2020 U19

  • 2026-05-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Oleksandria U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Poltava U19 · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-11T09:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 3-1 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)
  • 2025-11-22T11:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 0-0 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)
  • 2025-02-21T10:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 0-0 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)
  • 2024-08-17T09:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 3-1 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)
  • 2024-03-29T10:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 0-1 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)
  • 2023-09-16T00:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne U19 1-1 Kryvbas 2020 U19 (U19 League)

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Veres Rivne U19 win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.