Avanhard · Referee Oleksiy Derevinskyi, Ukraine · Analysis updated 16:02 UTC
Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.86 expected goals for Veres Rivne and 1.20 for Dynamo Kyiv, a combined total of 2.06. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
73.7% probability
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dynamo Kyiv away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dynamo Kyiv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 26% / 30% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.86 goals for Veres Rivne and 1.20 for Dynamo Kyiv, a combined 2.06 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.3%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.7%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–29.2%
Recent form
Veres Rivne
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kulykiv · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Zorya Luhansk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:30:00.000Z · A vs LNZ Cherkasy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Inhulets · 4-1 (W)
Dynamo Kyiv
- 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Zorya Luhansk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 1-2 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2026-02-05T14:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 2-3 Dynamo Kyiv (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-12-14T13:30:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2025-08-02T12:30:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-1 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2024-12-16T11:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-1 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2024-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 1-2 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2024-05-01T12:30:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2024-03-07T16:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2023-05-29T12:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
- 2022-11-21T12:00:00.000Z · Veres Rivne 0-1 Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Polessya | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Kharkiv | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Bukovyna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 73.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.