Sportclub Arena · Analysis updated 04:58 UTC
Verl II vs TuS Hordel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Verl II and 1.26 for TuS Hordel, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Verl II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Verl II to Win
48.0% probability
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–27.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Verl II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.71 goals for Verl II and 1.26 for TuS Hordel, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Verl II to Win is the headline pick at 48% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Verl II
TuS Hordel
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Rheine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Preußen Münster II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vreden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Verl II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ennepetal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Erkenschwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Gievenbeck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | TuS Hordel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Arminia II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Victoria Clarholz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | ASC Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hiltrup | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lippstadt 08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.