· Analysis updated 10:08 UTC
Versailles vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Versailles and 1.00 for Quevilly, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Versailles the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.5% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–08.2%
Why the model likes this
Quevilly away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Versailles to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Versailles and 1.00 for Quevilly, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Versailles
Quevilly
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.