France · Ligue 3 · Matchweek 712:45

12:45 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 10:08 UTC

Versailles vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Versailles and 1.00 for Quevilly, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Versailles the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Versailles win42%
Draw29%
Quevilly win30%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 2–08.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Quevilly away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Versailles to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Versailles and 1.00 for Quevilly, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Versailles

    Quevilly

    • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.