Hungary · Magyar Kupa · Round of 12814:30
VeszprémDDLLW

0 – 1

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Haladás VSEDWDWW

· Analysis updated 14:13 UTC

Veszprém vs Haladás VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Veszprém and 1.91 for Haladás VSE, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Haladás VSE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Haladás VSE win

53.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Veszprém home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Haladás VSE away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Veszprém win24%
Draw22%
Haladás VSE win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–36.2%

Recent form

Veszprém

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Sopron · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatabánya · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bicskei · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO II · 3-2 (W)

Haladás VSE

  • 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pápai Perutz · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárom · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs 1908 SZAC · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · Veszprém 2-4 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · Veszprém 0-1 Haladás VSE (Magyar Kupa)
  • 2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · Veszprém 0-0 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2025-07-27T15:30:00.000Z · Veszprém 1-1 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2025-03-22T13:00:00.000Z · Veszprém 1-0 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2024-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · Veszprém 2-1 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2023-11-26T12:00:00.000Z · Veszprém 3-1 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)
  • 2023-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · Veszprém 2-0 Haladás VSE (NB III - Northwest)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Haladás VSE win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.