Vevey Sports vs Lausanne Sport II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Vevey Sports and 2.41 for Lausanne Sport II, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Lausanne Sport II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lausanne Sport II win

60.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.34 – 2.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vevey Sports home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lausanne Sport II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lausanne Sport II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 20% / 19% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Vevey Sports and 2.41 for Lausanne Sport II, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Vevey Sports win20%

Draw19%

Lausanne Sport II win61%

Double chance 1X

39%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.2%
1–17.6%
1–37.3%
0–26.8%
2–26.1%

Recent form

Vevey Sports

2026-10-03T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lausanne Sport II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 1-2 (L)

Lausanne Sport II

2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Meyrin · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Echallens · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 5-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri	10	8	0	2	15	24
2	Prishtina Bern	10	7	2	1	18	23
3	Servette II	10	5	4	1	2	19
4	Lausanne Sport II	10	4	5	1	8	17
5	Sion II	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	4	2	4	5	14
7	Monthey	10	3	5	2	2	14
8	Naters	10	4	2	4	-7	14
9	Lancy	10	4	1	5	-1	13
10	Chênois	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Echallens	10	3	3	4	-6	12
12	Meyrin	10	3	2	5	3	11
13	Stade Payerne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	3	1	6	-17	10
15	Coffrane	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lausanne Sport II win, at 60.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.