· Analysis updated 04:53 UTC
VfL Halle vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for VfL Halle and 3.65 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win
79.0% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 3.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
VfL Halle home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 10% / 11% / 79% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for VfL Halle and 3.65 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
21%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.4%
- 1–46.7%
- 1–26.1%
- 0–35.5%
- 0–45.0%
Recent form
VfL Halle
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Einheit Wernigerode · 1-3 (L)
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfR Aalen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 08 Homburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Mannheim · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win, at 79.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.