· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
VfL Halle vs Eilenburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for VfL Halle and 2.35 for Eilenburg, a combined total of 4.52. That distribution gives Eilenburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.17 – 2.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
VfL Halle home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eilenburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 37% / 19% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for VfL Halle and 2.35 for Eilenburg, a combined 4.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 2–16.0%
- 1–15.5%
- 2–35.5%
Recent form
VfL Halle
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Einheit Wernigerode · 1-3 (L)
Eilenburg
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Auerbach | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Germania Halberstadt | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | VfL Halle | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Eilenburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Dresden II | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Plauen | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Freital | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Weissenfels | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Sandersdorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Empor Glauchau | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Budissa Bautzen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Einheit Wernigerode | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Krieschow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Einheit Rudolstadt | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Frankfurt | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.