VfL Vichttal vs Siegburger SV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.72 expected goals for VfL Vichttal and 1.71 for Siegburger SV, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives VfL Vichttal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

VfL Vichttal win

59.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.72 – 1.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

VfL Vichttal home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Siegburger SV away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

VfL Vichttal win59%

Draw18%

Siegburger SV win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals82%

Over 3.5 goals64%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

2–17.5%
3–16.8%
2–26.4%
3–25.8%
1–15.6%

Recent form

VfL Vichttal

2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Neunkirchen-Seelscheid · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Chlodwig Zulpich · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-13T13:45:00.000Z · H vs SSV Merten · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Porz · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Düren Merzenich · 6-2 (W)

Siegburger SV

2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SSV Merten · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs TuS RW Koblenz · 1-6 (L)
2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Monheim · 3-2 (W)
2026-06-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Merten · 1-5 (L)
2026-05-31T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Hennef 05 · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-25T13:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 3-2 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2025-11-30T14:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 0-4 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2025-06-09T13:00:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 1-5 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2024-12-01T14:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 0-1 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2023-12-10T13:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 0-2 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2023-08-20T13:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 1-3 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2023-06-11T12:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 3-1 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2022-12-04T14:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 3-1 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2022-05-08T13:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 2-1 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2021-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · VfL Vichttal 1-2 Siegburger SV (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wegberg-Beeck	9	7	1	1	12	22
2	SSV Merten	9	6	1	2	18	19
3	Eintracht Hohkeppel	9	5	2	2	8	17
4	Frechen	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Düren Merzenich	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	9	4	3	2	1	15
7	Fortuna Köln II	8	4	1	3	4	13
8	VfL Vichttal	9	3	3	3	7	12
9	Bornheim	9	4	0	5	0	12
10	Siegburger SV	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Hürth	9	2	4	3	-4	10
12	Chlodwig Zulpich	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hennef 05	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	TuS BW Königsdorf	8	2	0	6	-23	6
15	Porz	9	1	2	6	-7	5
16	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is VfL Vichttal win, at 59.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.