Stadio Romeo Menti · Referee Rosario Abisso, Italy · Analysis updated 01:24 UTC
Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Vicenza Virtus and 1.50 for Juve Stabia, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Vicenza Virtus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vicenza Virtus win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vicenza Virtus home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Juve Stabia away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vicenza Virtus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Vicenza Virtus and 1.50 for Juve Stabia, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Vicenza Virtus
- 2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Empoli · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Benevento · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Pisa · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hellas Verona · 1-2 (L)
Juve Stabia
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cremonese · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sudtirol · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Virtus Entella · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lazio · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs USD Palmese · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve Stabia (Serie B)
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vicenza Virtus win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.