· Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Victoria Clarholz vs Maaslingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Victoria Clarholz and 2.20 for Maaslingen, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Maaslingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Maaslingen win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Victoria Clarholz home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maaslingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 33% / 20% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Victoria Clarholz and 2.20 for Maaslingen, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–35.8%
Recent form
Victoria Clarholz
- 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Verl II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Maaslingen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Preußen Münster II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Westfalia Kinderhaus · 2-2 (D)
Maaslingen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Vreden | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Eintracht Rheine | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Lippstadt 08 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | ASC Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Arminia II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Erkenschwick | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Preußen Münster II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Verl II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Hiltrup | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | TuS Hordel | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Clarholz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Ennepetal | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Maaslingen win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.