Party-Rent-Arena · Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Victoria Rosport vs UN Kaerjeng 97 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Victoria Rosport and 4.50 for UN Kaerjeng 97, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives UN Kaerjeng 97 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
UN Kaerjeng 97 win
77.7% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Victoria Rosport home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
UN Kaerjeng 97 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates UN Kaerjeng 97 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 12% / 11% / 78% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Victoria Rosport and 4.50 for UN Kaerjeng 97, a combined 6.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
22%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–45.1%
- 2–45.1%
- 1–54.6%
- 2–54.6%
- 1–34.6%
Recent form
Victoria Rosport
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanem · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Etzella Ettelbruck · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs US Hostert · 0-2 (L)
UN Kaerjeng 97
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Syra Mensdorf · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs F91 Dudelange · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Differdange 03 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Swift Hesperange · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is UN Kaerjeng 97 win, at 77.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.