Videm vs Dobrovce Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Videm and 1.52 for Dobrovce, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Videm the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Videm win

60.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.56 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Videm home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Videm to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 18% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Videm and 1.52 for Dobrovce, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 72%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Videm win60%

Draw18%

Dobrovce win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

2–18.4%
3–17.2%
1–16.6%
2–26.4%
2–05.6%

Recent form

Videm

2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čarda Martjanci · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajdina · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Odranci · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Rače · 2-1 (W)

Dobrovce

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	10	8	2	0	18	26
2	Fužinar	10	6	1	3	10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	6	1	3	6	19
4	Šmartno	10	6	1	3	5	19
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	4	3	3	5	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Rače	10	3	4	3	1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	2	5	3	-1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	3	0	7	-12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	2	2	6	-13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	1	1	8	-12	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Videm win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.