· Analysis updated 13:35 UTC
Vietnam U17 vs Mali U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Vietnam U17 and 1.18 for Mali U17, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Vietnam U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Vietnam U17 win
62.9% probability
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vietnam U17 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mali U17 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vietnam U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.32 goals for Vietnam U17 and 1.18 for Mali U17, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–07.0%
Recent form
Vietnam U17
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Australia U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs United Arab Emirates U17 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korea Republic U17 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yemen U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U17 · 4-0 (W)
Mali U17
- 2026-05-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Senegal U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tanzania U17 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Mozambique U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Angola U17 · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-11-18T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Morocco U17 · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
World Cup - U17 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vietnam U17 win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.