King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium · Referee W. Jumpaoon · Analysis updated 10:25 UTC
Vietnam U17 vs United Arab Emirates U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.72 expected goals for Vietnam U17 and 1.08 for United Arab Emirates U17, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Vietnam U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vietnam U17 win
71.8% probability
Expected goals
2.72 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vietnam U17 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vietnam U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.72 goals for Vietnam U17 and 1.08 for United Arab Emirates U17, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.5%
- 1–16.6%
Recent form
Vietnam U17
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Australia U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs United Arab Emirates U17 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korea Republic U17 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yemen U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U17 · 4-0 (W)
United Arab Emirates U17
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vietnam U17 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Yemen U17 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Korea Republic U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-09T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Senegal U17 · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-11-06T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Croatia U17 · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vietnam U17 win, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.