· Referee S. Park · Analysis updated 05:35 UTC
Vietnam U17 W vs China PR U17 W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Vietnam U17 W and 1.97 for China PR U17 W, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives China PR U17 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
China PR U17 W win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.97
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vietnam U17 W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
China PR U17 W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates China PR U17 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 26% / 22% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Vietnam U17 W and 1.97 for China PR U17 W, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.4%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.4%
Recent form
Vietnam U17 W
- 2026-05-11T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Australia U17 W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Myanmar U17 W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-04T11:30:00.000Z · H vs China PR U17 W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Thailand U17 W · 2-2 (D)
- 2025-04-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Thailand U17 W · 2-1 (W)
China PR U17 W
- 2026-10-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Samoa U17 W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kenya U17 W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-14T11:30:00.000Z · H vs North Korea U17 W · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs India U17 W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Thailand U17 W · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-04T11:30:00.000Z · Vietnam U17 W 0-3 China PR U17 W (AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is China PR U17 W win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.