My Dinh National Stadium · Referee H. Kasahara · Analysis updated 21:48 UTC
Vietnam vs Singapore Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Vietnam and 0.72 for Singapore, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Vietnam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vietnam win
67.0% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 0.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vietnam home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Singapore away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.4%
- 2–013.2%
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.7%
Recent form
Vietnam
- 2026-10-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Malaysia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Pakistan · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-29T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Thailand · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Philippines · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Thailand · 2-2 (D)
Singapore
- 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Malaysia · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Bangladesh · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Indonesia · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Thailand · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Thailand · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-31T13:00:00.000Z · Vietnam 0-0 Singapore (ASEAN Championship)
- 2024-12-29T13:00:00.000Z · Vietnam 3-1 Singapore (ASEAN Championship)
- 2024-12-26T13:00:00.000Z · Vietnam 2-0 Singapore (ASEAN Championship)
- 2022-12-30T12:30:00.000Z · Vietnam 0-0 Singapore (AFF Championship)
- 2022-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · Vietnam 4-0 Singapore (Friendlies)
ASEAN Championship table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vietnam win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.