HBF Park · Analysis updated 14:12 UTC
Vietnam W vs India W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.67 expected goals for Vietnam W and 1.32 for India W, a combined total of 3.99. That distribution gives Vietnam W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vietnam W win
66.2% probability
Expected goals
2.67 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vietnam W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
India W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vietnam W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.67 goals for Vietnam W and 1.32 for India W, a combined 3.99 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–06.6%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–05.9%
Recent form
Vietnam W
- 2026-09-21T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Thailand W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-17T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Japan W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-14T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Chinese Taipei W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T06:00:00.000Z · A vs China W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-03-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Japan W · 0-4 (L)
India W
- 2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Malawi W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kenya W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chinese Taipei W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Japan W · 0-11 (L)
- 2026-03-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vietnam W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Asian Cup Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Australia W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | China W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | South Korea W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Korea DPR W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Chinese Taipei W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 7 | Philippines W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 8 | Vietnam W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Uzbekistan W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 10 | Iran W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| 11 | Bangladesh W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 0 |
| 12 | India W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vietnam W win, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.