Vihiga United FC vs 3K Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Vihiga United FC and 1.85 for 3K, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives 3K the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

3K win

67.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.60 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vihiga United FC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 3K to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 11% / 21% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.60 goals for Vihiga United FC and 1.85 for 3K, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 38%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

Vihiga United FC win11%

Draw21%

3K win68%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

89%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score38%

Correct score

0–116.0%
0–214.8%
1–19.6%
0–39.1%
1–28.9%

Recent form

Vihiga United FC

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Luanda Villa · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Naivas · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gucha Stars · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 0-1 (L)

2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Murang'a SEAL · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-19T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Bandari · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mara Sugar · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Migori Youth · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mwatate United · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is 3K win, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.