Vihiga United FC vs Soy United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Vihiga United FC and 1.30 for Soy United, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Soy United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Soy United win

45.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vihiga United FC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Soy United away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soy United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 26% / 28% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Vihiga United FC and 1.30 for Soy United, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Vihiga United FC win26%

Draw28%

Soy United win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

0–114.4%
1–113.0%
0–011.1%
1–010.0%
0–29.4%

Recent form

Vihiga United FC

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Luanda Villa · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Naivas · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gucha Stars · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 0-1 (L)

Soy United

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Luanda Villa · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Equity Bank · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabati Youth FC · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · Vihiga United FC 1-0 Soy United (Super League)
2025-12-03T12:00:00.000Z · Vihiga United FC 0-0 Soy United (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Soy United win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.