Viimsi Staadion · Referee Aleksei Latõnin · Analysis updated 03:26 UTC
Viimsi vs Tamper Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Viimsi and 1.37 for Tamper, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Viimsi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viimsi win
63.0% probability
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viimsi home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tamper away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viimsi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Viimsi and 1.37 for Tamper, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–06.4%
- 2–26.1%
Recent form
Viimsi
- 2026-08-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nõmme United II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Flora II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FCI Levadia II · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Helios · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Maardu · 2-1 (W)
Tamper
- 2026-08-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Laagri · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs JK Tabasalu · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Viimsi · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rumori Calcio · 4-2 (W)
- 2024-10-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalju Nomme · 0-9 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viimsi win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.