· Analysis updated 16:08 UTC
Viitorul Onesti vs Paşcani Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Viitorul Onesti and 1.00 for Paşcani, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Viitorul Onesti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viitorul Onesti win
64.6% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viitorul Onesti home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viitorul Onesti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Viitorul Onesti and 1.00 for Paşcani, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.2%
Recent form
Viitorul Onesti
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Paşcani · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aerostar Bacau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Odorheiu Secuiesc · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bradul Putna · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM FC Vaslui · 1-3 (L)
Paşcani
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM FC Vaslui · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gheorgheni · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Adjud · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacău II · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-08-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Soimii Gura Humorului · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Târgu Secuiesc | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | USV Iaşi | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bradul Putna | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Aerostar Bacau | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -16 | 4 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viitorul Onesti win, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.