Romania · Liga II · Final08:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 23 May 2026

Magura Stadium · Analysis updated 02:13 UTC

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs CS Dinamo București Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.57 for CS Dinamo București, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Viitorul Şelimbăr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viitorul Şelimbăr home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CS Dinamo București away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viitorul Şelimbăr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.57 for CS Dinamo București, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viitorul Şelimbăr win44%
Draw23%
CS Dinamo București win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.2%

Recent form

Viitorul Şelimbăr

  • 2026-08-23T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Afumati · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metaloglobus · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hermannstadt · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)

CS Dinamo București

  • 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Politehnica Timisoara118301327
2Slatina11812925
3Chindia Targoviste118031324
4Popești-Leordeni117311124
5Cetatea Suceava116321021
6Metalul Buzău11632621
7CSM Reşiţa11704321
8Concordia11614819
9FC Bacau115331218
10Bihor Oradea11533818
11Gloria Bistriţa11605118
12CS Afumati11524017
13Metaloglobus10334-412
14CSM Ramnicu Valcea10325-511
15ASA Targu Mures11326-711
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti11245-610
17Viitorul Şelimbăr11236-129
18Unirea Slobozia11227-18
19CS Dinamo București11218-167
20CSM Satu Mare11065-86
21Ştefăneşti11209-196
22Dumbrăviţa11038-163

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.