Magura Stadium · Analysis updated 09:54 UTC
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs FC Bacau Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.97 for FC Bacau, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives FC Bacau the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Bacau win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
0.79 – 1.97
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viitorul Şelimbăr home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Bacau away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Bacau to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 14% / 21% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.79 goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.97 for FC Bacau, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.4%
- 0–212.2%
- 1–19.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–38.0%
Recent form
Viitorul Şelimbăr
- 2026-10-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Targu Mures · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 1-2 (L)
FC Bacau
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea Suceava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Reşiţa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Dumbrăviţa · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-03T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Craiova · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Slatina | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Chindia Targoviste | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Popești-Leordeni | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Cetatea Suceava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Metalul Buzău | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | CSM Reşiţa | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Concordia | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 10 | Bihor Oradea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | CS Afumati | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | ASA Targu Mures | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Unirea Slobozia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Ştefăneşti | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Bacau win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.