Romania · Cupa României · Final14:30

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Thursday, 20 August 2026

FC BotosaniLLWLD

· Analysis updated 03:54 UTC

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs FC Botosani Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.22 for FC Botosani, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Viitorul Şelimbăr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viitorul Şelimbăr home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Botosani away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viitorul Şelimbăr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 26% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.22 for FC Botosani, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viitorul Şelimbăr win43%
Draw26%
FC Botosani win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–27.4%

Recent form

Viitorul Şelimbăr

  • 2026-08-23T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Afumati · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metaloglobus · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hermannstadt · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)

FC Botosani

  • 2026-10-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Bucuresti · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Uta Arad · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arges Pitesti · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.