· Analysis updated 15:49 UTC
Viking FK W vs Åsane W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Viking FK W and 1.32 for Åsane W, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Viking FK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viking FK W win
45.9% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viking FK W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viking FK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Viking FK W and 1.32 for Åsane W, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–07.0%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 12.4%), compared with our model probability.
No selection clears our 3-point edge threshold — the market looks efficiently priced.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 1.73 | 53.0% | 54.1% | 1.85 | +1.1 |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.65 | 57.1% | 57.7% | 1.73 | +0.6 |
| Match result | Away | 3.00 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 3.31 | +0.5 |
| Match result | Draw | 3.75 | 23.7% | 23.9% | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.20 | 76.4% | 76.1% | 1.31 | -0.3 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.20 | 42.9% | 42.3% | 2.36 | -0.6 |
| Match result | Home | 1.91 | 46.6% | 45.9% | 2.18 | -0.7 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 1.30 | 70.6% | 69.8% | 1.43 | -0.8 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
Viking FK W
- 2026-08-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 3-0 (W)
Åsane W
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · Viking FK W 0-1 Åsane W (1. Division Women)
- 2025-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · Viking FK W 1-4 Åsane W (1. Division Women)
- 2025-06-14T13:00:00.000Z · Viking FK W 2-1 Åsane W (1. Division Women)
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viking FK W win, at 45.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.