· Analysis updated 03:59 UTC
Viking FK W vs Frigg Oslo FK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.91 expected goals for Viking FK W and 0.62 for Frigg Oslo FK W, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Viking FK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 92%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 92% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viking FK W win
91.7% probability
Expected goals
3.91 – 0.62
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viking FK W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Frigg Oslo FK W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viking FK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 92%, against 92% / 6% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.91 goals for Viking FK W and 0.62 for Frigg Oslo FK W, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
8%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–010.8%
- 4–010.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 5–08.2%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Viking FK W
- 2026-08-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 3-0 (W)
Frigg Oslo FK W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grei W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viking FK W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viking FK W win, at 91.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 92% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.