Faroe-Islands · Løgmanssteypid · Final18:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 16:24 UTC

Vikingur Gota vs KI Klaksvik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Vikingur Gota and 2.03 for KI Klaksvik, a combined total of 5.03. That distribution gives Vikingur Gota the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vikingur Gota win

57.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.00 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vikingur Gota home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • KI Klaksvik away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vikingur Gota win58%
Draw17%
KI Klaksvik win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.1%
  • 3–26.1%
  • 2–16.0%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 4–24.5%

Recent form

Vikingur Gota

  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 0-0 (D)

KI Klaksvik

  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · A vs HB Torshavn · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · A vs 07 Vestur · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-06-19T17:30:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 2-2 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 0-1 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2025-10-31T19:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 0-2 KI Klaksvik (Løgmanssteypid)
  • 2025-09-15T17:30:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 0-0 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2025-07-03T18:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 0-1 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2025-04-12T18:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 0-2 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2024-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 1-2 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2024-06-02T14:15:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 2-0 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2024-05-12T14:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 1-2 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)
  • 2023-10-29T15:00:00.000Z · Vikingur Gota 2-1 KI Klaksvik (Meistaradeildin)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vikingur Gota win, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.