Stadion Lichterfelde · Analysis updated 18:55 UTC
Viktoria Berlin W vs Warbeyen W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Viktoria Berlin W and 0.67 for Warbeyen W, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Viktoria Berlin W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Berlin W win
78.3% probability
Expected goals
2.58 – 0.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Berlin W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Warbeyen W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Berlin W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.58 goals for Viktoria Berlin W and 0.67 for Warbeyen W, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
22%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.9%
- 3–011.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 3–17.4%
Recent form
Viktoria Berlin W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-0 (W)
Warbeyen W
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Berlin W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Berlin W 3-1 Warbeyen W (DFB Pokal - Women)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Berlin W 3-0 Warbeyen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2025-12-07T13:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Berlin W 3-2 Warbeyen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | SC Sand W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Berlin W win, at 78.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.