· Analysis updated 21:12 UTC
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. vs Monheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. and 1.75 for Monheim, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Monheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.6% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Monheim away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. and 1.75 for Monheim, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.5%
Recent form
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- 2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Solingen-Wald · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs KFC Uerdingen 05 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Meerbusch · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonsbeck · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SW Essen · 3-1 (W)
Monheim
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KFC Uerdingen 05 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Meerbusch · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonsbeck · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SW Essen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Scherpenberg · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niederrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 29 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | SF Baumberg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Monheim | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | SC St. Tönis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Sonsbeck | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | BW Dingden | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Germania Ratingen | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Solingen-Wald | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Scherpenberg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Büderich | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | Meerbusch | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | SW Essen | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Holzheimer SG | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -25 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.