· Analysis updated 06:19 UTC
Viktoria Köln U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.07 expected goals for Viktoria Köln U19 and 1.41 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Viktoria Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Viktoria Köln U19 win
70.6% probability
Expected goals
3.07 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Köln U19 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Alemannia Aachen U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 15% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.07 goals for Viktoria Köln U19 and 1.41 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined 4.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 4–15.9%
- 3–05.5%
- 3–25.4%
Recent form
Viktoria Köln U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 10-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 2-3 (L)
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Köln U19 win, at 70.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.